Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.006186 0.006917 0.007711 0.008642 0.009705 0.010884 0.012295
2025-03-02 0.005063 0.006069 0.007256 0.008767 0.010654 0.012947 0.015972
2025-03-09 0.004363 0.005472 0.006850 0.008705 0.011165 0.014353 0.018858
2025-03-16 0.003754 0.004873 0.006322 0.008359 0.011194 0.015059 0.020837
2025-03-23 0.003391 0.004537 0.006073 0.008319 0.011579 0.016237 0.023570
2025-03-30 0.003229 0.004443 0.006127 0.008682 0.012548 0.018327 0.027905
2025-04-06 0.002909 0.004094 0.005782 0.008420 0.012546 0.018947 0.030018
2025-04-13 0.002649 0.003804 0.005489 0.008195 0.012562 0.019572 0.032193
2025-04-20 0.002476 0.003626 0.005345 0.008178 0.012892 0.020726 0.035409
2025-04-27 0.002390 0.003572 0.005380 0.008443 0.013704 0.022766 0.040493
2025-05-04 0.002248 0.003417 0.005242 0.008408 0.013996 0.023928 0.044099
2025-05-11 0.002138 0.003302 0.005159 0.008453 0.014426 0.025376 0.048468
2025-05-18 0.001994 0.003130 0.004975 0.008322 0.014551 0.026325 0.052097
2025-05-25 0.001906 0.003042 0.004926 0.008427 0.015131 0.028234 0.058125
2025-06-01 0.001798 0.002913 0.004795 0.008368 0.015388 0.029525 0.063013
2025-06-08 0.001657 0.002716 0.004531 0.008038 0.015071 0.029593 0.065086
2025-06-15 0.001573 0.002614 0.004427 0.007999 0.015335 0.030920 0.070409
2025-06-22 0.001552 0.002621 0.004519 0.008346 0.016435 0.034216 0.081308
2025-06-29 0.001450 0.002475 0.004319 0.008095 0.016233 0.034547 0.084548
2025-07-06 0.001361 0.002347 0.004143 0.007880 0.016086 0.034986 0.088172
2025-07-13 0.001304 0.002274 0.004068 0.007864 0.016380 0.036514 0.095168
2025-07-20 0.001283 0.002268 0.004120 0.008118 0.017315 0.039752 0.107885
2025-07-27 0.001230 0.002197 0.004041 0.008084 0.017576 0.041318 0.115894